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Article

Assessing the Influence of Prior on Subsequent Street Robbery Location Choices: A Case Study in ZG City, China

1
Center of Integrated Geographic Information Analysis, School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China
2
School of Geographical Science, Center of GeoInformatics for Public Security, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou 510275, China
3
Department of Geography, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH 45221-0131, USA
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Sustainability 2018, 10(6), 1818; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/su10061818
Received: 17 March 2018 / Revised: 23 May 2018 / Accepted: 30 May 2018 / Published: 31 May 2018
The literature shows that offenders’ subsequent crime location choices are affected by their prior crime location choices. However, the published studies have focused on the influence of time and place of a previous crime, without testing the impact of whether the offender was arrested during the act of the prior crime. On the basis of the literature, this study further examines the influence of the prior robbery experiences on the subsequent street robbery location choices, by testing explicit hypotheses on how the time, place, and being arrested in the act of previous robberies affect a robber’s subsequent decisions of where to commit robberies. The data set used in this study includes 1262 detected robberies committed by 527 street robbers from the ZG City Public Security Bureau in China. Results of a mixed logit model demonstrate that prior street robbery experiences have a strong effect on subsequent street robbery location choices. A shorter time interval and less possibility of being arrested in the act of a prior street robbery significantly increase the likelihood of a robber returning to the previous location. However, the impact of distance of journey to prior crime location is not statistically significant. View Full-Text
Keywords: street robbery; location choice; crime experiences; repeat offending; mixed logit model street robbery; location choice; crime experiences; repeat offending; mixed logit model
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MDPI and ACS Style

Long, D.; Liu, L.; Feng, J.; Zhou, S.; Jing, F. Assessing the Influence of Prior on Subsequent Street Robbery Location Choices: A Case Study in ZG City, China. Sustainability 2018, 10, 1818. https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/su10061818

AMA Style

Long D, Liu L, Feng J, Zhou S, Jing F. Assessing the Influence of Prior on Subsequent Street Robbery Location Choices: A Case Study in ZG City, China. Sustainability. 2018; 10(6):1818. https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/su10061818

Chicago/Turabian Style

Long, Dongping, Lin Liu, Jiaxin Feng, Suhong Zhou, and Fengrui Jing. 2018. "Assessing the Influence of Prior on Subsequent Street Robbery Location Choices: A Case Study in ZG City, China" Sustainability 10, no. 6: 1818. https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/su10061818

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