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Article

Global Trends in Antimicrobial Use in Food Animals from 2017 to 2030

1
Department of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zürich, 8006 Zürich, Switzerland
2
Spatial Epidemiology Lab, Université Libre de Bruxelles, 1050 Brussels, Belgium
3
Fonds National de la Recherche Scientifique, 1050 Brussels, Belgium
4
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 00153 Rome, Italy
5
Center for Disease Dynamics Economics and Policy, New Delhi 110024, India
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: 6 November 2020 / Revised: 3 December 2020 / Accepted: 13 December 2020 / Published: 17 December 2020
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Antimicrobial Resistance: The Final Frontier)
Demand for animal protein is rising globally and has been facilitated by the expansion of intensive farming. However, intensive animal production relies on the regular use of antimicrobials to maintain health and productivity on farms. The routine use of antimicrobials fuels the development of antimicrobial resistance, a growing threat for the health of humans and animals. Monitoring global trends in antimicrobial use is essential to track progress associated with antimicrobial stewardship efforts across regions. We collected antimicrobial sales data for chicken, cattle, and pig systems in 41 countries in 2017 and projected global antimicrobial consumption from 2017 to 2030. We used multivariate regression models and estimated global antimicrobial sales in 2017 at 93,309 tonnes (95% CI: 64,443, 149,886). Globally, sales are expected to rise by 11.5% in 2030 to 104,079 tonnes (95% CI: 69,062, 172,711). All continents are expected to increase their antimicrobial use. Our results show lower global antimicrobial sales in 2030 compared to previous estimates, owing to recent reports of decrease in antimicrobial use, in particular in China, the world’s largest consumer. Countries exporting a large proportion of their production are more likely to report their antimicrobial sales data than countries with small export markets. View Full-Text
Keywords: antibiotics; livestock; animal products; sales; exports antibiotics; livestock; animal products; sales; exports
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MDPI and ACS Style

Tiseo, K.; Huber, L.; Gilbert, M.; Robinson, T.P.; Van Boeckel, T.P. Global Trends in Antimicrobial Use in Food Animals from 2017 to 2030. Antibiotics 2020, 9, 918. https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/antibiotics9120918

AMA Style

Tiseo K, Huber L, Gilbert M, Robinson TP, Van Boeckel TP. Global Trends in Antimicrobial Use in Food Animals from 2017 to 2030. Antibiotics. 2020; 9(12):918. https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/antibiotics9120918

Chicago/Turabian Style

Tiseo, Katie, Laura Huber, Marius Gilbert, Timothy P. Robinson, and Thomas P. Van Boeckel 2020. "Global Trends in Antimicrobial Use in Food Animals from 2017 to 2030" Antibiotics 9, no. 12: 918. https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/antibiotics9120918

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