Reconstruction of the Spring Hill Wildfire and Exploration of Alternate Management Scenarios Using QUIC-Fire
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Site and Fire Description
2.2. Spring Hill Fire Reconstruction
2.2.1. Fuels Parameterization
2.2.2. Weather
2.3. Simulation Validation
2.4. Modeling Alternate Scenarios
3. Results and Discussion
3.1. Simulation Validation
3.2. Modeling Alternate Scenarios
3.3. Additional Considerations
4. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
References
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Tree Type | Height (m) | HTLC (m) | Crown Radius (m) | CL Factor |
---|---|---|---|---|
Pitch Pine (dwarf) | 5.50 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 0.80 |
Pitch Pine (typical) | 11.00 | 7.00 | 2.50 | 0.80 |
Oak | 3.50 | 1.15 | 1.00 | 0.99 |
Scenario | Surface Fuels | Vegetation Presence | General Structure | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Original Loading | 50% Loading | Understory | Midstory | Spring Hill Fire Original Fuel Structure | Simulated Structure of Repeated Prescribed Fire | Simulated Structure of Repeated Wildfire | |
S0 | X | X | X | X | |||
S1 | X | X | X | X | |||
S2 | X | X | X | ||||
S3 | X | X | X | X | |||
S4 | X | X | X | X | |||
S5 | X | X | X | X | |||
S6 | X | X | X | X | |||
S7 | X | X | X | X | |||
S8 | X | X * | X | ||||
S9 | X | X |
Test | Metric | T-Stat | p-Value |
---|---|---|---|
Repeated Prescribed Fire vs. Other Scenarios (e.g., Repeated Wildfire and Fire Exclusion) | Area Burned | −1.190 | 0.247 |
ROGavg | −0.271 | 0.789 | |
ROGmax | 1.143 | 0.263 | |
ROSavg | −7.809 | <0.001 | |
ROSmax | −1.845 | 0.088 | |
100% Fuel Loading vs. 50% Fuel Loading | Area Burned | 10.839 | <0.001 |
ROGavg | 13.767 | <0.001 | |
ROGmax | 10.750 | <0.001 | |
ROSavg | 1.063 | 0.302 | |
ROSmax | −2.101 | 0.056 |
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Gallagher, M.R.; Cope, Z.; Giron, D.R.; Skowronski, N.S.; Raynor, T.; Gerber, T.; Linn, R.R.; Hiers, J.K. Reconstruction of the Spring Hill Wildfire and Exploration of Alternate Management Scenarios Using QUIC-Fire. Fire 2021, 4, 72. https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/fire4040072
Gallagher MR, Cope Z, Giron DR, Skowronski NS, Raynor T, Gerber T, Linn RR, Hiers JK. Reconstruction of the Spring Hill Wildfire and Exploration of Alternate Management Scenarios Using QUIC-Fire. Fire. 2021; 4(4):72. https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/fire4040072
Chicago/Turabian StyleGallagher, Michael R., Zachary Cope, Daniel Rosales Giron, Nicholas S. Skowronski, Trevor Raynor, Thomas Gerber, Rodman R. Linn, and John Kevin Hiers. 2021. "Reconstruction of the Spring Hill Wildfire and Exploration of Alternate Management Scenarios Using QUIC-Fire" Fire 4, no. 4: 72. https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/fire4040072