Seismic Hazard Analysis Using Ground-Motion Models: New Perspectives and Challenges

A special issue of Applied Sciences (ISSN 2076-3417). This special issue belongs to the section "Earth Sciences".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (25 May 2022) | Viewed by 2759

Special Issue Editor


E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Seismic risk research team, Department of Natural Risks, CEREMA
Interests: seismology; earthquake engineering; engineering seismology; applied geophysics; soil mechanics; seismic hazard and risk assessment; lithological and topographical site effects; ground motion prediction; building seismic vulnerability; soil–structure interaction

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

The study of ground-motion models (GMMs), including ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) and the attenuation relationship, has developed increasingly since the late 1970s. Apart from analytical calculations that can only be applied to simple cases like semi-circular or semi-elliptical geometries, some approaches are purely numerical, while others are essentially based on statistical regressions performed on real databases. These ground motion models help predict seismic hazards and can have a large impact on the design of buildings and infrastructures in earthquake‐prone regions. In a deterministic approach, the selection of an adequate GMM for a given region is very important. On the other hand, the use of several GMMs in a probabilistic hazard assessment, done in a logic tree scheme, needs an adapted weighting protocol. 

One of the major issues in the development of GMMs concerns the reduction of uncertainties, leading reliable models to predict seismic ground motion including both source and site effects. Because of the lack of observations close to seismic sources, the classical empirical model poorly constrains near-source motion, but advanced numerical simulations are able to catch the motion variability due to source intricacy. At a distance from the source, complex site effects can strongly affect the ground motion and cannot be taken into account by considering only simple proxies like Vs30. In order to tackle these difficulties, sophisticated GMMs must take into account either a realistic physical model or a large amount of observations should combine both numerical and empirical methods. The intent of this Special Issue is to gather studies on these different issues.

We invite papers dealing with an original way to use these GMMs in seismic hazard analysis or addressing the computation of new GMM able to consider both the complexity of the source mechanism and complex local site effects, including non-linearities or 3D geometries. Empirical, stochastic, or numerical studies are welcome. Studies that are focused on original ground motion parameter estimation are also encouraged, as well as those dealing with relative performance estimation among multiple models.

Dr. Etienne Bertrand
Guest Editor

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 100 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for announcement on this website.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Applied Sciences is an international peer-reviewed open access semimonthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2400 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Keywords

  • Seismic hazard assessment
  • Ground-motion models
  • Non-linear and 3D site effects consideration
  • Empirical and numerical ground motion prediction
  • Use of ground-motion models
  • Selection of adequate ground-motion models
  • Near source ground motion prediction

Published Papers (1 paper)

Order results
Result details
Select all
Export citation of selected articles as:

Research

18 pages, 11124 KiB  
Article
Seismic Risk Assessment of Chania, Greece, Using an Integrated Computational Approach
by Ioannis Koutsoupakis, Yiannis Tsompanakis, Pantelis Soupios, Panagiotis Kirmizakis, SanLinn Kaka and Costas Providakis
Appl. Sci. 2021, 11(23), 11249; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/app112311249 - 26 Nov 2021
Viewed by 2178
Abstract
This study develops a comprehensive seismic risk model for the city of Chania, in Greece, which is located ina highly seismic-prone region due to the occurrenceof moderate to large earthquakes because of the nearby major subduction zone between African and Eurasian tectonic plates. [...] Read more.
This study develops a comprehensive seismic risk model for the city of Chania, in Greece, which is located ina highly seismic-prone region due to the occurrenceof moderate to large earthquakes because of the nearby major subduction zone between African and Eurasian tectonic plates. The main aim is to reduce the seismic risk for the study area by incorporating the spatial distribution of the near-surface shear wave velocity model and the soil classification, along with all possible seismic sources, taking into account historical events. The study incorporates and correlates various ground motion scenarios and geological fault zones as well as information on existing buildings to develop a seismic risk model using QuakeIST software, and then the seismic hazard and a realistic prediction of resulting future adverse effects are assessed. The developed model can assist the municipal authorities of Chania to be prepared for potential seismic events, as well as city planners and decisionmakers, who can use the model as an effective decision-making tool to identify the seismic vulnerability of the city buildings and infrastructure. Thus, this study enables the implementation of an appropriate and viable earthquake-related hazards strategy to mitigate damage and losses in future earthquakes. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Back to TopTop