Assessment of Natural Risk Phenomena Susceptibility Using Novel Analysis Algorithms Combined with GIS Techniques

A special issue of Geosciences (ISSN 2076-3263). This special issue belongs to the section "Natural Hazards".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (27 November 2020) | Viewed by 15929

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management, București-Ploiești Road, 97E, 1st District, 013686 Bucharest, Romania
Interests: hydrology; natural hazards; geographic information science; bivariate statistics; machine learning and artificial intelligence applied in the natural hazard’s susceptibility assessment
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
Department of Watershed Management Engineering, College of Natural Resources, Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran, P.O. Box 14115-111, Iran
Interests: water resources management; watershed management; hydrology; flood modelling; remote sensing; bivariate statistics; flood vulnerability; GIS; machine learning and artificial intelligence applied in the natural hazard’s susceptibility assessment
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

E-Mail Website
Guest Editor
National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management, București-Ploiești Road, 97E, 1st District, 013686 Bucharest, Romania
Interests: water balance; watershed hydrology; biogeography; natural hazards; microscale runoff; geographic information science; geography; remote sensing

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Natural hazards, due to their unexpected nature, often cause a lot of financial and human losses. The damages caused by different natural risk phenomena such as floods, flash-floods, droughts, landslides, gully erosion, forest fires or earthquake can cause severe economic damages and loss of human life. Moreover, these phenomena may negatively influence the economic and social development of many countries across the world, and therefore, an efficient management of these natural hazards is mandatory. In this regard, an accurate prediction of the areas that are susceptible to being affected in the future by these natural risk phenomena has a great importance. Along with the general development of intelligent computing techniques, in recent years, machine learning and geographic information system (GIS) models have been widely used to solve many real-world problems related to different natural hazards and to create efficient susceptibility maps. In recent years, new advanced techniques such as machine learning and deep learning have been developed, and also, many new hybrid models have been proposed for natural risk phenomenon susceptibility mapping. It should be noted that hybrid models are generated from the combination of multiple standalone algorithms such as those belonging to bivariate statistics, multicriteria decision making analysis, and artificial intelligence. Along with the cartographic representation achieved through the application of these modern algorithms, there is also a huge database regarding the severity of the future natural phenomena that the responsible authorities should use in order to mitigate the negative effects. Although these techniques have been and are being applied in many areas of the world, we consider that a significant increase of such studies is still needed in many areas exposed to natural hazards in order to give a more complete and correct image on the size damages that could be generated in the future. Additionally, the diversification of the methods of analysis is very necessary for estimating the potentially affected areas as accurately as possible. It should be mentioned that these studies will become more and more important in the context of global climate change, because apart from earthquakes, almost all other hazards are closely related to these changes at the planetary level.

In the light of the abovementioned aspects, the main aim of this Special Issue is to collect state-of-the-art research findings on the latest developments and challenges in the field of data mining and GIS intended to evaluate susceptibility to natural risk phenomena. High-quality original research papers that present theoretical frameworks, methodologies, and application of case studies from a single- or cross-country perspective are welcome, as are review articles.

Potential topics of interest include but are not limited to the following:

  • Real-world case studies in natural risk phenomenon prediction and assessment such as geohazards like landslides, flash-floods, floods, droughts, soil erosion and degradation, and related issues;
  • Software development that promotes the application of data mining in natural hazard prediction and assessment;
  • Cutting-edge data mining methods, such as machine learning, optimization, deep learning techniques, and metaheuristic algorithms for data mining in natural hazard prediction and assessment;
  • Data mining techniques, including classification, association, outlier detection, clustering, regression, and prediction, for decision making, in natural hazard prediction and assessment.

Dr. Romulus Costache
Dr. Mohammadtaghi Avand
Dr. Gabriel Minea
Guest Editors

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Keywords

  • Natural risk phenomena
  • Susceptibility mapping
  • Machine learning
  • Bivariate statistics
  • Multicriteria decision making
  • Hybrid models
  • Geographic information system (GIS)

Published Papers (3 papers)

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Research

20 pages, 26164 KiB  
Article
Spatial Prediction of Future Flood Risk: An Approach to the Effects of Climate Change
by Mohammadtaghi Avand, Hamid Reza Moradi and Mehdi Ramazanzadeh Lasboyee
Geosciences 2021, 11(1), 25; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/geosciences11010025 - 05 Jan 2021
Cited by 37 | Viewed by 5965
Abstract
Preparation of a flood probability map serves as the first step in a flood management program. This research develops a probability flood map for floods resulting from climate change in the future. Two models of Flexible Discrimination Analysis (FDA) and Artificial Neural Network [...] Read more.
Preparation of a flood probability map serves as the first step in a flood management program. This research develops a probability flood map for floods resulting from climate change in the future. Two models of Flexible Discrimination Analysis (FDA) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) were used. Two optimistic (RCP2.6) and pessimistic (RCP8.5) climate change scenarios were considered for mapping future rainfall. Moreover, to produce probability flood occurrence maps, 263 locations of past flood events were used as dependent variables. The number of 13 factors conditioning floods was taken as independent variables in modeling. Of the total 263 flood locations, 80% (210 locations) and 20% (53 locations) were considered model training and validation. The Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and other statistical criteria were used to validate the models. Based on assessments of the validated models, FDA, with a ROC-AUC = 0.918, standard error (SE = 0.038), and an accuracy of 0.86% compared to the ANN model with a ROC-AUC = 0.897, has the highest accuracy in preparing the flood probability map in the study area. The modeling results also showed that the factors of distance from the River, altitude, slope, and rainfall have the greatest impact on floods in the study area. Both models’ future flood susceptibility maps showed that the highest area is related to the very low class. The lowest area is related to the high class. Full article
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25 pages, 12692 KiB  
Article
Prioritizing Flood-Prone Areas Using Spatial Data in the Province of New Brunswick, Canada
by Sheika Henry, Anne-Marie Laroche, Achraf Hentati and Jasmin Boisvert
Geosciences 2020, 10(12), 478; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/geosciences10120478 - 24 Nov 2020
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 5295
Abstract
Over the years, floods have caused economic damage that has impacted development in many regions. As a result, a comprehensive overview of flood-prone areas at the provincial scale is important in order to identify zones that require detailed assessment with hydrodynamic models. This [...] Read more.
Over the years, floods have caused economic damage that has impacted development in many regions. As a result, a comprehensive overview of flood-prone areas at the provincial scale is important in order to identify zones that require detailed assessment with hydrodynamic models. This study presents two approaches that were used to prioritize flood-prone areas at the provincial scale in New Brunswick, Canada. The first approach is based on a spatial multi-criteria evaluation (SMCE) technique, while the second approach pertains to flood exposure analysis. The results show the variation in the identified flood-prone areas and, depending on the methodology and scenario used, prioritization changes. Therefore, a standard methodology might not be feasible and should be developed based on the objective of the study. The results obtained can be useful for flood risk practitioners when making decisions about where to commence detailed flood hazard and risk assessment. Full article
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14 pages, 5536 KiB  
Article
Assessment of Geotechnical Seismic Isolation (GSI) as a Mitigation Technique for Seismic Hazard Events
by Davide Forcellini
Geosciences 2020, 10(6), 222; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/geosciences10060222 - 06 Jun 2020
Cited by 27 | Viewed by 3977
Abstract
Geotechnical seismic isolation (GSI) has emerged as a potential technique to mitigate the effects of earthquakes, with many applications to structural configurations, such as bridges and buildings. It consists of absorbing the seismic energy from the soil to the superstructure by interposing a [...] Read more.
Geotechnical seismic isolation (GSI) has emerged as a potential technique to mitigate the effects of earthquakes, with many applications to structural configurations, such as bridges and buildings. It consists of absorbing the seismic energy from the soil to the superstructure by interposing a superficial soil layer in order to reduce the accelerations that filter from the soil to the structure. This mitigation technique is particularly suitable in developing countries since GSIs are low-cost seismic isolation systems that through relatively simple manufacturing processes allow to safe costs and stimulate many applications. The presented study aimed to perform 3D numerical finite element models that overcome the previous contributions by performing several structural configurations. Several historical earthquakes are considered in this paper, and the results may be applied to drive general assessments of the technique in case of future seismic hazards. Full article
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