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Second Edition: Health Impacts of and Adaptation to Warming of 1.5 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C

A special issue of International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (ISSN 1660-4601). This special issue belongs to the section "Climate Change".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (31 March 2023) | Viewed by 3169

Special Issue Editor


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Guest Editor
Department of Environmental and Safety Engineering, Ajou University, Suwon 16499, Republic of Korea
Interests: atmospheric environment; aerosol; climate change; particulate matters; human health

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

As mentioned in the first Special Issue of “Health Impacts of Warming of 1.5 °C and 2 °C,” and the special report of “Global Warming of 1.5 °C” from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in October 2018, achieving the goal of 1.5 °C would significantly reduce the impacts of climate change. However, achieving such a stringent goal is very challenging and may be unrealistic. According to the special report from the IPCC, the global greenhouse gas emissions should be reduced to 40–50% of 2010 levels by 2030 to limit global warming to 1.5 °C in 2100. However, with the current nationally stated mitigation ambition in place until 2030, we are more likely to experience global warming of 3 °C in 2100.

Along with the effort to limit global warming, it is very important to put effort into adapting to climate change and mitigating its future health impact. On the other hand, most previous studies on the impact of global warming rely on the assumption of constant health vulnerability, ignoring the potential influence of socio-economic development on future vulnerability. Such practice might cause a systematic overestimation of the impact of global warming.

In this second Special Issue, we invite papers assessing health impacts based on scenarios of global warming (1.5 °C and higher) and future vulnerability. The vulnerability scenarios can be constant, business as usual, or any other improvement scenarios associated with current and future adaptation and mitigation efforts. In addition, we invite papers exploring the drivers of the uneven distribution of health vulnerability seen in different regional, socio-economical, and demographical groups to fill the dearth of knowledge of vulnerability and adaptation to climate change. To invite papers in this area, we have updated the title of the second Special Issue to be different from the first. You may contact the Guest Editor (Prof. Dr. Jae Young Lee) to confirm or discuss whether your work falls within the scope of this issue.

Prof. Dr. Jae Young Lee
Guest Editor

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 100 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for announcement on this website.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health is an international peer-reviewed open access monthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2500 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Keywords

  • climate change
  • climate variability
  • environmental change
  • global health
  • risk assessment
  • temperature
  • adaptation and mitigation
  • vulnerability

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Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

12 pages, 2122 KiB  
Article
Climate Change and Diarrhoeal Disease Burdens in the Gaza Strip, Palestine: Health Impacts of 1.5 °C and 2 °C Global Warming Scenarios
by Shakoor Hajat, David Gampe, Amal Sarsour and Samer Abuzerr
Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2022, 19(8), 4898; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/ijerph19084898 - 18 Apr 2022
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 2692
Abstract
The Gaza Strip is one of the world’s most fragile states and faces substantial public health and development challenges. Climate change is intensifying existing environmental problems, including increased water stress. We provide the first published assessment of climate impacts on diarrhoeal disease in [...] Read more.
The Gaza Strip is one of the world’s most fragile states and faces substantial public health and development challenges. Climate change is intensifying existing environmental problems, including increased water stress. We provide the first published assessment of climate impacts on diarrhoeal disease in Gaza and project future health burdens under climate change scenarios. Over 1 million acute diarrhoea cases presenting to health facilities during 2009–2020 were linked to weekly temperature and rainfall data and associations assessed using time-series regression analysis employing distributed lag non-linear models (DLNMs). Models were applied to climate projections to estimate future burdens of diarrhoeal disease under 2 °C and 1.5 °C global warming scenarios. There was a significantly raised risk of diarrhoeal disease associated with both mean weekly temperature above 19 °C and total weekly rainfall below 6 mm in children 0–3 years. A heat effect was also present in subjects aged > 3 years. Annual diarrhoea cases attributable to heat and low rainfall was 2209.0 and 4070.3, respectively, in 0–3-year-olds. In both age-groups, heat-related cases could rise by over 10% under a 2 °C global warming level compared to baseline, but would be limited to below 2% under a 1.5 °C scenario. Mean rises of 0.9% and 2.7% in diarrhoea cases associated with reduced rainfall are projected for the 1.5 °C and 2 °C scenarios, respectively, in 0–3-year-olds. Climate change impacts will add to the considerable development challenges already faced by the people of Gaza. Substantial health gains could be achieved if global warming is limited to 1.5 °C. Full article
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