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Offshore Hydrocarbon Resources: Sustainable Development and Long-Term Forecasting

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A special issue of Journal of Marine Science and Engineering (ISSN 2077-1312). This special issue belongs to the section "Geological Oceanography".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (31 March 2021) | Viewed by 35847

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Special Issue Editors

Prof. Dr. Alexey Cherepovitsyn

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Guest Editor

Economics, Organization and Management Department, Saint Petersburg Mining University, Saint Petersburg, Russia
Interests: economics of mineral resources; strategic management; sustainable development; economics of CC(U)S
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Dr. Alina Cherepovitsyna (Ilinova)

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Guest Editor

Luzin Institute for Economic Studies, Kola Science Centre of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Apatity, Russia
Interests: strategic management; energy economics; industrial management; economics of Arctic mineral resources; economics of CC(U)S
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Due to the significant hydrocarbon resources on the Arctic shelf, these territories could eventually become the main oil and gas producing region globally. The main focus of this Special Issue will be on research related to the long-term forecasting of Arctic marine oil and gas resource exploration and development and ensuring the sustainability of the energy sector. The methods and approaches of strategic planning and forecasting, that can be used in modeling the potential of Arctic industrial oil and gas complex and logistic systems, also appear as one of the most important research areas. We hope that research will address issues of ecologically balanced and socially sustainable development of marine and coastal territories of the Arctic. It is necessary to address the problem that innovations, engineering, and management decisions must have a low carbon focus. Moreover, the project risks, including geology and investments, and the interests of all stakeholders of Arctic industrial systems should be fully taken into account. This Special Issue will contribute to the evolution of the methods of strategic planning and forecasting of Arctic marine industrial and logistic complex, based on oil and gas production, in the context of the concept of sustainability.

Prof. Alexey Cherepovitsyn
Dr. Alina Ilinova
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 100 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for announcement on this website.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering is an international peer-reviewed open access monthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2600 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Keywords

Hydrocarbon resources
Marine resources
Arctic
Sustainable development
Forecasting
Offshore oil and gas fields

Published Papers (10 papers)

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Research

15 pages, 5161 KiB

Open AccessArticle

The Future of Russian Arctic Oil and Gas Projects: Problems of Assessing the Prospects

by Amina Chanysheva and Alina Ilinova

J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2021, 9(5), 528; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/jmse9050528 - 13 May 2021

Cited by 20 | Viewed by 3670

Abstract

The development of Arctic marine resources is currently the focus of the world’s largest oil and gas companies, which is due to the presence of significant hydrocarbon reserves. However, the decision-making process for implementing offshore oil and gas projects in the Arctic is highly uncertain and requires consideration of many factors. This study presents a comprehensive approach to evaluating the prospects of oil production on the Russian Arctic shelf. It is based on a specific methodology which involves expert forecasting methods. We analyze the current conditions and key factors and indicators, focusing on oil prices and quality of technologies that could influence the decision-making in the oil and gas company concerning Arctic offshore fields’ development. We use general scientific methods—analysis, synthesis, classification and systematization—and propose a method for assessing the prospects of Arctic projects which is based on a three-step algorithm. Together with practical tools presented in the article, it will support decision-making on the project initiation and the development of a particular field. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Offshore Hydrocarbon Resources: Sustainable Development and Long-Term Forecasting)

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26 pages, 8782 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Deep Structure, Tectonics and Petroleum Potential of the Western Sector of the Russian Arctic

by Alexey S. Egorov, Oleg M. Prischepa, Yury V. Nefedov, Vladimir A. Kontorovich and Ilya Y. Vinokurov

J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2021, 9(3), 258; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/jmse9030258 - 01 Mar 2021

Cited by 14 | Viewed by 3362

Abstract

The evolutionary-genetic method, whereby modern sedimentary basins are interpreted as end-products of a long geological evolution of a system of conjugate palaeo-basins, enables the assessment of the petroleum potential of the Western sector of the Russian Arctic. Modern basins in this region contain relics of palaeo-basins of a certain tectonotype formed in varying geodynamic regimes. Petroleum potential estimates of the Western Arctic vary broadly—from 34.7 to more than 100 billion tons of oil equivalent with the share of liquid hydrocarbons from 5.3 to 13.4 billion tons of oil equivalent. At each stage of the development of palaeo-basins, favourable geological, geochemical and thermobaric conditions have emerged and determined the processes of oil and gas formation, migration, accumulation, and subsequent redistribution between different complexes. The most recent stage of basin formation is of crucial importance for the modern distribution of hydrocarbon accumulations. The primary evolutionary-genetic sequence associated with the oil and gas formation regime of a certain type is crucial for the assessment of petroleum potential. Tectonic schemes of individual crustal layers of the Western sector of the Russian Arctic have been compiled based on the interpretation of several seismic data sets. These schemes are accompanied by cross-sections of the Earth’s crust alongside reference geophysical profiles (geo-traverses). A tectonic scheme of the consolidated basement shows the location and nature of tectonic boundaries of cratons and platform plates with Grenvillian basement as well as Baikalian, Caledonian, Hercynian, and Early Cimmerian fold areas. Four groups of sedimentary basins are distinguished on the tectonic scheme of the platform cover according to the age of its formation: (1) Riphean-Mesozoic on the Early Precambrian basement; (2) Paleozoic-Cenozoic on the Baikalian and Grenvillian basements; (3) Late Paleozoic-Cenozoic on the Caledonian basement; (4) Mesozoic-Cenozoic, overlying a consolidated basement of different ages. Fragments of reference sections along geo-traverses illustrate features of the deep structure of the main geo-structures of the Arctic shelf and continental regions of polar Russia. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Offshore Hydrocarbon Resources: Sustainable Development and Long-Term Forecasting)

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20 pages, 2384 KiB

Open AccessArticle

The Future of Energy and the Case of the Arctic Offshore: The Role of Strategic Management

by Elias G. Carayannis, Alina Ilinova and Alexey Cherepovitsyn

J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2021, 9(2), 134; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/jmse9020134 - 28 Jan 2021

Cited by 25 | Viewed by 4344

Abstract

As risk and uncertainty factors have become more prominent in the already volatile energy market because of the COVID-19 pandemic, the development of Arctic hydrocarbon resources has become a debatable issue. At any rate, oil and gas companies need to improve their strategic management systems (along with the development of technologies) for the successful implementation of such complex projects. The purpose of this study was to propose the conceptual basis for transforming strategic management and planning systems of oil and gas companies so that they can successfully face global challenges when implementing offshore oil and gas projects in the Arctic as well as provide more sustainable energy sources. The article discusses the current situation with Arctic initiatives and the results of an analysis of price instability in the energy sector, along with an analysis of several megatrends affecting oil and gas companies. All this allows for presenting a conceptual vision of how a strategic management system should be transformed in order to become able to meet the requirements for implementing Arctic projects, with the emphasis being placed on sustainability, management requirements, and the key principles. The research is based on the fundamentals of strategic management and strategic planning and relies on methods such as desk study, content analysis, event analysis, comparative analysis, and factor analysis. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Offshore Hydrocarbon Resources: Sustainable Development and Long-Term Forecasting)

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19 pages, 990 KiB

Open AccessFeature PaperArticle

Issue of Accumulation and Redistribution of Oil and Gas Rental Income in the Context of Exhaustible Natural Resources in Arctic Zone of Russian Federation

by Natalia Kirsanova, Olga Lenkovets and Muhammad Hafeez

J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2020, 8(12), 1006; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/jmse8121006 - 09 Dec 2020

Cited by 17 | Viewed by 2968

Abstract

The significant resource potential of the Arctic has attracted the attention of its adjacent countries and extra-regional states. The mineral and raw material base of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation (AZRF) comprises a wide range of minerals. However, due to its hydrocarbon reserves, the Arctic is considered to be the most important geopolitical and geo-economic macro-region for Russia. A significant portion of the Arctic hydrocarbons (about 19%) is concentrated in the territory of Russia’s shelf. The extraction of Arctic marine oil and gas resources and ensuring the sustainability of the Russian energy complex depend significantly on the level of Arctic development. Thus, the pace and quality of the development of AZRF are strategically important to ensure the national interests of the country. It has been proven that the implementation of the state program for AZRF development and strategic plans of the largest companies operating in the region consolidate the raw material nature of AZRF development. Rent becomes the main form of income. This article addresses the main directions of the region’s development and the factors that prevent a high level of industrialization, which increase attention to the withdrawal and redistribution of rental income. The article considers the Russian and foreign experiences of withdrawal and redistribution of oil and gas rental income, and analyzes the level of socio-economic development of AZRF. The authors suggest a methodology for assessing the impact of a country’s area and population size on the ability to achieve a high income due to hydrocarbons. The authors also explain the principles of rental income redistribution in the region as a basis for improving the level of AZRF’s socio-economic development and as a condition for transition from the “colonial model” of development to the “sustainable development” model. The study results can be used to elaborate a mechanism for rental income redistribution in AZRF and state programs for the region’s development. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Offshore Hydrocarbon Resources: Sustainable Development and Long-Term Forecasting)

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18 pages, 1538 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Sustainable Development of Oil and Gas Potential of the Arctic and Its Shelf Zone: The Role of Innovations

by Diana Dmitrieva and Natalia Romasheva

J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2020, 8(12), 1003; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/jmse8121003 - 08 Dec 2020

Cited by 51 | Viewed by 5130

Abstract

Currently, the Russian oil and gas industry is characterized by significant reserves depletion and the late stage of development of most fields. At the same time, new fields that are brought into industrial development, in the majority of cases, have hard-to-recover reserves. Furthermore, most prospective oil and gas deposits are located in the Arctic and its offshore territories and their development is much more complicated due to regional peculiarities. This substantiates the necessity of a special approach to the development of the oil and gas potential of the Arctic, based on innovation. The goal of the paper is to reveal the role of innovation activity in the sustainable development of the oil and gas potential in the Arctic and its offshore zone. The paper briefly presents the main urgent factors of Arctic development, which highlight the necessity of innovation for its sustainability. Then, it introduces the methods used for the research: the Innovation Policy Road mapping (IPRM) method in accordance with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) concept for clarifying how innovations will lead to sustainable development. In terms of results, this paper presents an innovation policy roadmap for the sustainable development of oil and gas resources of the Russian Arctic and its shelf zone and identifies the role of innovation within this development. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Offshore Hydrocarbon Resources: Sustainable Development and Long-Term Forecasting)

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31 pages, 786 KiB

Open AccessFeature PaperArticle

Approaches to Assessing the Strategic Sustainability of High-Risk Offshore Oil and Gas Projects

by Alexey Cherepovitsyn, Anna Tsvetkova and Nadejda Komendantova

J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2020, 8(12), 995; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/jmse8120995 - 06 Dec 2020

Cited by 21 | Viewed by 4210

Abstract

In the face of today’s global challenges, oil and gas companies must define long-term priorities and opportunities in implementing complex Arctic offshore projects, taking into account environmental, economic, technological and social aspects. In this regard, ensuring strategic sustainability is the basis for long-term development. The aim of the study is to analyze existing approaches to the concept of “strategic sustainability” of an offshore Arctic oil and gas project and to develop a methodological approach to assessing the strategic sustainability of offshore oil and gas projects. In the theoretical part of the study, the approaches to defining strategic sustainability were reviewed, and their classification was completed, and the most appropriate definition of strategic sustainability for an offshore oil and gas project was chosen. The method of hierarchy analysis was used for strategic sustainability assessment. Specific criteria have been proposed to reflect the technical, geological, investment, social and environmental characteristics important to the offshore oil and gas project. The strategic sustainability of 5 offshore oil and gas projects was analyzed using an expert survey as part of the hierarchy analysis method. Recommendations were made on the development of an offshore project management system to facilitate the emergence of new criteria and improve the quality of the strategic sustainability assessment of offshore projects in the Arctic. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Offshore Hydrocarbon Resources: Sustainable Development and Long-Term Forecasting)

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11 pages, 2964 KiB

Open AccessArticle

Evaluation of Pollutant Emissions into the Atmosphere during the Loading of Hydrocarbons in Marine Oil Tankers in the Arctic Region

by Vadim Fetisov, Vladimir Pshenin, Dmitrii Nagornov, Yuri Lykov and Amir H. Mohammadi

J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2020, 8(11), 917; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/jmse8110917 - 13 Nov 2020

Cited by 10 | Viewed by 3288

Abstract

Emissions of volatile organic compounds into the atmosphere when loading oil or petroleum products into tankers are strong environmental pollutants. Given the increase in oil transport by sea and the development of Arctic routes, humanity faces the task of preserving the Arctic ecosystem. Vapor recovery units can limit the emissions of volatile organic compounds. However, it is necessary to estimate the emissions of oil and petroleum products vapors. This article offers two methods for estimating emissions of volatile organic compounds. In the analytical method, a mathematical model of evaporation dynamics and forecasting tank gas space pressure of the tanker is proposed. The model makes it possible to estimate the throughput capacity of existing gas phase discharge pipeline systems and is also suitable for designing new oil vapor recovery units. Creating an experimental laboratory stand is proposed in the experimental method, and its possible technological scheme is developed. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Offshore Hydrocarbon Resources: Sustainable Development and Long-Term Forecasting)

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15 pages, 10841 KiB

Open AccessArticle

On the Rheological Properties of Thermodynamic Hydrate Inhibitors Used in Offshore Oil and Gas Production

by Paulo Paz and Theodoro Antoun Netto

J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2020, 8(11), 878; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/jmse8110878 - 04 Nov 2020

Cited by 9 | Viewed by 2153

Abstract

A new thermodynamic hydrate inhibitor (THI), is being proposed based on the analysis of its rheological properties leading to improvement of the injection process. The method is based on the viscosity changes during the injection process. The experimental tests analysing the viscosity, shear stress related to drag force of the MEG and ethanol mixture allowed us to develop a better injectable THI. Considering the results that we obtained, it can be said that the mixture of MEG/EtOH is more convenient for transportation and injection process, and also to be stored on the platform. The use of ethanol and MEG mixture as THI is novel in this field. It turns out that the benefits of the mixture overcome the benefits of using them alone. This discovery opens a window for more improvements to natural gas hydrate suppression. The mixture could also change the formation of gas hydrates, thereby destabilizing the ice-like structure. Since the hydrate suppression process is stoichiometric—directly proportional to water production—it is necessary to inject large amounts of THI, thus improving the injection with the proposed mixture could lead to a more economical process. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Offshore Hydrocarbon Resources: Sustainable Development and Long-Term Forecasting)

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10 pages, 1896 KiB

Open AccessArticle

A State-Dependent Constitutive Model for Gas Hydrate-Bearing Sediments Considering Cementing Effect

by Qingmeng Yuan, Liang Kong, Rui Xu and Yapeng Zhao

J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2020, 8(8), 621; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/jmse8080621 - 18 Aug 2020

Cited by 6 | Viewed by 1988

Abstract

This paper presents a state-dependent constitutive model for gas hydrate-bearing sediments (GHBS), considering the cementing effect for simulating the stress–strain behavior of GHBS. In this work, to consider the influence of hydrate on matrix samples in theory, some representative GHBS laboratory tests were analyzed, and it was found that GHBS has obvious state-related characteristics. At the same time, it was found that GHBS has high bonding strength. In order to describe these characteristics of GHBS, the cementation strength related to hydrate saturation is introduced in the framework of a sand state correlation model. In addition, in order to accurately reflect the influence of cementation on the hardening law of GHBS, the degradation rate of cementation strength is introduced, and the mixed hardening theory is adopted to establish the constitutive model. The model presented in this paper reproduces the experimental results of Masui et al. and Miyazaki et al., and the prediction performance of the model is satisfactory, which proves the rationality of this work. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Offshore Hydrocarbon Resources: Sustainable Development and Long-Term Forecasting)

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28 pages, 5753 KiB

Open AccessFeature PaperArticle

Integrating Real-Time Monitoring Data in Risk Assessment for Crane Related Offshore Operations

by Giuseppa Ancione, Nicola Paltrinieri and Maria Francesca Milazzo

J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2020, 8(7), 532; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/jmse8070532 - 18 Jul 2020

Cited by 11 | Viewed by 2908

Abstract

The oil and gas sector is one of the most dangerous and stringent workplaces, due to the hazardousness of materials involved as well as the critical tasks that workers have to perform. Cranes are widely used in this sector for several activities. A wrong load lifting or handling often is due to a limited visibility of working area and could bring to severe accidental scenarios, for this reason safety of these operations becomes of paramount importance. The use of safety devices, that provide an augmented vision to the crane-operator, is essential to avoid potential accidents, moreover risk analysis could benefit from the acquisition of real time information about the process. This work aims to extrapolate and adapt dynamic risk assessment concepts for crane-related operations of a typical oil and gas industry by means of the support of safety devices. To achieve this objective, a set of risk indicators, reporting continuous information about the operations that are carried out, will be defined; successively, a technique of aggregation of these indicators will also be applied with the aim to update the frequency of critical events by a proper Risk Metric Reduction Factor that accounts for the effect of the use of safety barriers. Full article

(This article belongs to the Special Issue Offshore Hydrocarbon Resources: Sustainable Development and Long-Term Forecasting)

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