This section first shows the example analysis process in the form of a flow chart, then takes a regional power grid as a sample to evaluate and analyze the resilience of its main network.
4.2. Case Analysis
To verify that the evaluation index system and method proposed in this paper can effectively evaluate the resilience level of the main power grid in the context of the energy transition, we take the power grids of four areas in one region as the evaluation samples. The power grids of four areas in a region are taken as evaluation samples. This area is located in a coastal city, and its extreme disasters are mainly typhoons. Taking the typhoon disasters in this area as an example, we evaluated the area’s resilience level after external shocks. The regional grid transmission network is shown in
Figure 3.
According to the index system of the article, we organized experts to evaluate and score the qualitative indices of the four sample areas and obtained quantitative indices data through random production simulation and the SCADA (Supervisory Control And Data Acquisition) system. SCADA system can store rich data types, such as digital, analogue, etc. The relevant indices can collect typical data from a large number of historical data and apply them to the evaluation and calculation of this paper. According to historical experience and data statistics, area A performs relatively well in all aspects of extreme disasters; area B performs better in post-disaster recovery and new energy recovery; area C has more comprehensive measures in the pre-disaster prevention phase. However, the performance in the post-disaster recovery of new energy is poor, and area D in the face of extreme disasters needs to be improved in all aspects. In this paper, the model proposed in this paper is realized by MATLAB programming. The obtained data are brought into the model to evaluate the resilience of the main network in the sample area. The specific steps are as follows:
(1) Calculation of subjective and objective weights of indices. Organize relevant experts to score its importance by pairwise comparison of indices. Then calculate the subjective weight of the indicator according to the scoring result. Then calculate the contrast coefficient and conflict coefficient of the index, calculate the information amount of the index, and obtain the objective weight of the index, as shown in
Table 3 below.
(2) Combining the subjective weight and the objective weight, the final comprehensive weight can be obtained by Formula (9), as shown in
Table 4.
Among them, the comprehensive weights of SAIFI and SAIDI in the resilience index system are 0.0513 and 0.0509, respectively, which shows that the reliability index of fault elimination time still plays an essential role in the resilience index proposed in this paper.
(3) Comprehensive assessment using TOPSIS. After standardizing the indices, they are weighted in combination with
Table 3, and the optimal solution and the worst solution are obtained by Formulas (13) and (14). The relative distance of the worst solution is:
= [0.2290, 0.3121, 0.2813, 0.4050];
= [0.4533, 0.3074, 0.2768, 0.2963].
According to Formula (17), calculate the relative closeness of each evaluation sample, as shown in
Table 5.
The greater the relative closeness, the higher the level of resilience of the main grid in the region. From the calculation results in
Table 4, it can be concluded that for the four sample areas A, B, C, and D, the order of the main network resilience is A > B > C > D. Among them, Region A has the highest level of resilience. Regions B and C have different emphases on the actual disaster response and recovery measures, but the comprehensive resilience level is close. Region B has slightly higher resilience than Region C due to the better performance of post-disaster recovery and new energy-related indices. Region D has a low level of resilience and needs to take measures to improve it further. The assessment results align with historical data and disaster response simulations in each region. The evaluation index system proposed in this paper can comprehensively and effectively evaluate the resilience level of the main power grid in the context of the energy transition and has a guiding role in improving the resilience of power grids in the context of the energy transition.
To verify the scientificity and superiority of the comprehensive index weight modelling method based on the priority comparison method and CRITIC, we take the entropy weight method to calculate the index weight and compare it with the article method, as shown in
Figure 4.
As shown in
Figure 4, the comprehensive weight of the index proposed in this paper is more average, fully considering the influence of subjective and objective factors, and is more in line with the actual power grid.
In
Table 6, result 1 is the resilience score of the method proposed in this paper, and result 2 is the resilience evaluation score obtained by using the entropy weight method and grey relational analysis method to evaluate the example. It can be seen that the resilience evaluation result of the latter is A > C > B > D. This indicates that due to the lack of consideration of the increase in the permeability of new energy in the actual power grid, as well as the subjective and practical effects such as the equipment and line strength on the transmission side of the main network, it is concluded that the resilience of area B is lower than that of area C, it is not in line with the performance of the actual power grid in the face of extreme disasters. Therefore, by comparing the above two evaluation results, it is proved that the evaluation method proposed in this paper is accurate and practical.