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Article

Pricing Contingent Claims in a Two-Interest-Rate Multi-Dimensional Jump-Diffusion Model via Market Completion

by
Alexander Melnikov
and
Pouneh Mohammadi Nejad
*,†
Department of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB T6G 2J5, Canada
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
These authors contributed equally to this work.
Submission received: 29 November 2023 / Revised: 27 January 2024 / Accepted: 19 February 2024 / Published: 2 March 2024

Abstract

:
This paper investigates a financial market where asset prices follow a multi-dimensional Brownian motion process and a multi-dimensional Poisson process characterized by diverse credit and deposit rates where the credit rate is higher than the deposit rate. The focus extends to evaluating European options by establishing upper and lower hedging prices through a transition to a suitable auxiliary market. Introducing a lemma elucidates the same solution to the pricing problem in both markets under specific conditions. Additionally, we address the minimization of shortfall risk and determine no-arbitrage price bounds within the framework of incomplete markets. This study provides a comprehensive understanding of the challenges posed by the multi-dimensional jump-diffusion model and varying interest rates in financial markets.

1. Introduction

Pricing contingent claims in complete markets has garnered significant attention since the seminal work of Black, Scholes and Margrabe in [1,2]. After this revolutionary change, refs. [3,4,5,6,7,8] expanded this field of study in various aspects. In 1976, Merton priced options with discontinuous underlying stock returns, addressing the stochastic volatility problem and providing a solution to it. Merton examined cases where prices were driven by jump-diffusion processes. Building upon Merton’s work, refs. [7,9] extended the jump-diffusion model and introduced the double exponential jump-diffusion model, which allows closed-form solutions for path-dependent options. They proposed an analytical solution for path-dependent options and an analytic approximation for finite-horizon American options. Refs. [10,11] provide extensive information on different aspects of financial modeling, from the basic mathematical tools to option pricing in models with jumps, including multi-dimensional models and, importantly, pricing and hedging in incomplete markets. Efficient hedging of contingent claims is well established in complete markets characterized by the same interest rate for credit and deposit accounts. (Refer to [12] for detailed insights). However, our focus shifts to a more realistic financial market scenario, introducing a two-interest-rate model where the credit rate surpasses the deposit rate, aligning more closely with real-world financial markets (as discussed in [13]). In this paper, we consider a multi-dimensional model featuring m + 2 securities, encompassing two risk-free assets, d stocks driven by a d-dimensional Brownian motion, and m d stocks influenced by an ( m d ) -dimensional Poisson process.
Given the incompleteness of the market with two interest rates [14], we transform it into a suitable auxiliary market using a multi-dimensional jump-diffusion model incorporating two interest rates [15].
When aiming to minimize the risk of expected shortfall, the investor operates with an initial capital lower than the necessary Black–Scholes fair price. In this scenario, wherein the value of a portfolio at the maturity time T with the initial wealth x is less than the contingent claim at time T (i.e., X T π ( x ) < f T ) , the investor seeks to determine the optimal strategy that minimizes the expected value of their shortfall ( f T X T π ( x ) ) + , taking into account a weighted loss function. Ref. [16] minimizes the shortfall risk in the jump-diffusion model. For details on shortfall risk minimization, refer to [17].
Incomplete markets typically allow for infinitely many equivalent martingale measures, leading to non-uniqueness in the no-arbitrage price of a contingent claim. Researchers address this challenge through various approaches, such as market completion by introducing specific sets of assets (refer to [18,19]). We introduce certain conditions under which a given set of assets completes the original market, enabling the determination of the range within which the no-arbitrage price can be obtained. The structure of this paper unfolds as follows: Section 2 provides an overview of the market model. Section 3 delves into contingent claim valuation within complete markets, accompanied by a theorem presenting a comprehensive solution to the contingent claim problem in such markets. In Section 4, we establish a martingale measure for the new auxiliary market characterized by a higher interest rate for the credit account. Additionally, in Section 5, we explore the concept of shortfall risk, acknowledging situations where achieving a perfect hedge might be infeasible, yet it remains possible to minimize the expected shortfall risk, as demonstrated towards the end of this section. The final section will explore pricing contingent claims via market completion in ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market, where we study no-arbitrage price bounds in incomplete markets.

2. The Market Model

Let ( Ω , F t , P , F ) be a filtered probability space with a complete and right-continuous filtration F : = { F t } 0 t T . Assume there are m + 2 continuously traded securities, including two risk-free assets, d stocks driven by an R d -valued Brownian motion W ( t ) = ( W 1 ( t ) , , W d ( t ) ) , and a ( m d ) -dimensional multivariate Poisson process N ( t ) = ( N 1 ( t ) , , N m d ( t ) ) with a positive intensity λ . This intensity is independent of W and is denoted by λ ( k ) ( t ) , representing the rate of the jump process at time t. The process λ ( k ) ( t ) is { F t } -predictable, positive, and uniformly bounded over [ 0 , T ] .
The price of the i t h stock, S i ( t ) , is determined by the following equation
d S i ( t ) = S i ( t ) μ i ( t ) d t + j = 1 d σ i j ( t ) d W j ( t ) + k = 1 m d ν i k ( t ) d N ˜ k ( t ) ,
where N ˜ k ( t ) = N k ( t ) 0 t λ ( k ) ( s ) d s , ν i k ( t ) > 1 for all i , k , and t [ 0 , T ] , σ i j > 0 , and μ i R . σ and ν are matrix-valued processes such that i t h row is given by σ i j = ( σ i 1 , , σ i d ) , and ν i k = ( ν i 1 , , ν i ( m d ) ) for i = 1 , , m , respectively. We assume μ , σ , and ν are uniformly bounded in ( t , ω ) [ 0 , T ] × Ω . Henceforth, the dynamics of the price in Equation (1) possess a unique solution under these assumptions. We also define the volatility coefficients σ ˜ ( t ) = [ σ ( t ) ν ( t ) ] , forming an m × m full-rank matrix, ensuring that det ( σ ˜ ( t ) σ ( t ) ) 0 a.s. for all t [ 0 , T ] .
Considering jumps and stochastic jump sizes introduces incompleteness to the market. However, in our model, we assume that the size of the jumps is predictable. The market incompleteness arises from denoting two different interest rates, as described below.
Let us consider one deposit account B 1 with the interest rate r 1 and one credit account B 2 with the interest rate r 2 satisfying
d B 1 ( t ) = B 1 ( t ) r 1 d t , d B 2 ( t ) = B 2 ( t ) r 2 d t .
Given that, in reality, the credit rate is always higher than the deposit rate, we assume constant values for r 1 and r 2 such that
r 2 > r 1 ,
and investors are not allowed to borrow and lend money simultaneously.
The market described above is denoted as the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market.
In the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market, we denote β 1 ( t ) and β 2 ( t ) as the number of units invested in the B 1 and B 2 accounts, respectively, and γ ( t ) = ( γ 1 ( t ) , , γ m ( t ) ) , where γ i represents the number of units invested in the i th stock. The portfolio process is then denoted as follows
π ( t ) = ( β 1 ( t ) , β 2 ( t ) , γ 1 ( t ) , , γ m ( t ) ) .
The value of the portfolio π is given by
X π ( t ) = β 1 ( t ) B 1 ( t ) + β 2 ( t ) B 2 ( t ) + i = 1 m γ i ( t ) S i ( t ) a . s .
with β 1 0 , β 2 0 , and
X π ( 0 ) = x ,
where x is the initial value (initial capital) of the portfolio. This portfolio is self-financing (SF) if
d X π ( t ) = β 1 ( t ) d B 1 ( t ) + β 2 ( t ) d B 2 ( t ) + i = 1 m γ i ( t ) d S i ( t ) .
Denote the class of admissible portfolio strategies with initial capital x by
A ( x ) = { π R m + 2 : X π ( 0 ) = x , X π m for all t [ 0 , T ] } .
Any non-negative F t -measurable random variable f T is called a contingent claim with maturity time T. A market is complete if and only if any contingent claim f T can be replicated. Namely, there exists an initial capital x and π SF such that:
X T π ( x ) = x + i = 1 m 0 T π i ( t ) d S i ( t ) = f T P - a . s .
Let us consider X ( t ) (or Y ( t ) ) as the investor’s wealth (or debt) at time t and call it the wealth process (or debt process) if X ( t ) (or Y ( t ) ) is generated by a self-financing and admissible strategy.
Since the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market is not a complete market, standard methods for pricing and investing do not work. To address this, we transform the market into an auxiliary market ( B z , S m ) z [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] . In this market, B z is the bank account with the interest rate
r z = r 1 + z .
Note that the ( B z , S m ) -market is complete for every z satisfying z [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] for any t [ 0 , T ] .
Now, we derive the dynamics of the wealth and debt processes in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market.
By the self-financing wealth process X ( T ) 0 ,
d X ( t ) = β 1 ( t ) d B 1 ( t ) + β 2 ( t ) d B 2 ( t ) + i = 1 m γ i ( t ) d S i ( t ) ,
where β 1 > 0 , β 2 < 0 . Then,
d X ( t ) X ( t ) = β 1 ( t ) B 1 ( t ) X ( t ) d B 1 ( t ) B 1 ( t ) + β 2 ( t ) B 2 ( t ) X ( t ) d B 2 ( t ) B 2 ( t ) + i = 1 m γ i ( t ) S i ( t ) X ( t ) d S i ( t ) S i ( t ) .
Denoting
ζ ( t ) = ζ 1 ( t ) + + ζ m ( t ) = γ 1 ( t ) S 1 ( t ) X ( t ) + + γ m ( t ) S m ( t ) X ( t ) = i = 1 m γ i ( t ) S i ( t ) X ( t ) ,
then
1 ζ ( t ) = X ( t ) i = 1 m γ i ( t ) S i ( t ) X ( t ) = β 1 ( t ) B 1 ( t ) + β 2 ( t ) B 2 ( t ) + i = 1 m γ i ( t ) S i ( t ) i = 1 m γ i ( t ) S i ( t ) X ( t ) = β 1 ( t ) B 1 ( t ) + β 2 ( t ) B 2 ( t ) X ( t ) .
Recalling r 2 > r 1 , and noting 1 ζ ( t ) + = max ( 1 ζ ( t ) , 0 ) , and 1 ζ ( t ) = min ( 1 ζ ( t ) , 0 ) , we obtain
d X ( t ) X ( t ) = ( 1 ζ ( t ) ) + r 1 d t ( 1 ζ ( t ) ) r 2 d t + i = 1 m ζ i ( t ) d S i ( t ) S i ( t ) .
Taking the same steps, one can observe that the stochastic differential equation (SDE) of the seller is as follows:
d Y ( t ) Y ( t ) = ( 1 ζ ( t ) ) + r 2 d t ( 1 ζ ( t ) ) r 1 d t + i = 1 m ζ i ( t ) d S i ( t ) S i ( t ) .
A hedging strategy against f in the ( B , S m ) -market is not necessarily a hedging strategy against f in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market. In this regard, we first pay attention to contingent claim valuation in the complete markets and then in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market.

3. Contingent Claim Valuation in Complete Markets

As mentioned in the previous section, any non-negative F T -measurable random variable f T is called a contingent claim with maturity T. The ( B , S m ) -market is complete if and only if any contingent claim f T can be replicated. This means that there exists an initial wealth x and a strategy π SF such that X T π ( x ) = f T . We show that this is the only price for a contingent claim, preventing any arbitrage opportunities. To do that, we define a unique equivalent martingale measure. Let us consider
θ ( t ) : = [ σ ( t ) 1 ν ( t ) 1 ] [ μ ( t ) r ( t ) ] = θ W ( t ) θ N ( t ) ,
where θ W ( t ) is an R d -valued process, θ N ( t ) is an R m d -valued process, and σ ˜ ( t ) : = [ σ ( t ) ν ( t ) ] is the m × m volatility matrix process. Let us define the following processes
W ˜ ( t ) : = W ( t ) + 0 t θ W ( s ) d s , N ˜ ( t ) : = N ( t ) 0 t θ N ( s ) d s .
and
Z W ( t ) : = exp 0 t θ W T ( s ) d W ( s ) 1 2 0 t θ W ( s ) 2 d s ,
Z N ( t ) : = 1 k m d n 1 ( ( ψ ( k ) ( t n ( k ) ) + 1 ) 1 { t n ( k ) t } + 1 { t n ( k ) > t } ) × exp { 0 t ψ ( k ) ( s ) λ ( k ) ( s ) d s } ,
where
ψ ( k ) ( t ) : = θ N ( k ) ( t ) / λ ( k ) ( t ) ,
t n ( k ) is the time of the n-th jump, and N k ( t ) = sup { n : t n ( k ) t } is the number of type k random jumps to the market by time t.
Lemma 1.
The process Z defined by
Z ( t ) : = Z W ( t ) Z N ( t ) ,
is a P-martingale with E [ Z ( T ) ] = 1 . Define an auxiliary probability measure on ( Ω , F T ) as
P ^ ( A ) : = E [ Z ( T ) 1 A ] , A F T .
Then, W ˜ and N ˜ are martingales under P. In particular, the jump process N k admits ( P , F t ) -stochastic intensity
λ ˜ ( k ) ( t ) = ( ψ ( k ) ( t ) + 1 ) λ ( k ) ( t ) .
Refer to [20].
Theorem 1.
Let f be a given contingent claim. The fair price of f is given by
p = E ( γ ( T ) f ) ,
and there exists a unique (up to equivalence) corresponding hedging strategy π with corresponding wealth process X ( t ) satisfying
X ( 0 ) = p .
Refer to [15].
Here, E means expectation with respect to P.
The discount process γ ( t ) is defined as
γ ( t ) = exp 0 t r ( s ) d s for t [ 0 , T ] .

4. Contingent Claim Valuation When the Interest Rate for the Credit Account Is Higher Than the Interest Rate for the Deposit Account

Now, we transform the problem of contingent claim valuation in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market to a suitable complete market ( B z , S m ) . By substituting r ( t ) with r z ( t ) and defining θ ^ ( t ) , Z ^ ( t ) , W ^ ( t ) , P ^ , and γ ^ ( t ) as in Section 3, one can obtain the same results. Then, the fair price p ^ of the contingent claim f in the ( B z , S m ) -market is given by
p ^ = E ^ ( γ ^ ( T ) f ) ,
where E ^ is the expectation with respect to the probability measure P ^ .
The following lemma relates the ( B z , S m ) -market to the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market. In other words, we obtain a condition under which the wealth processes corresponding to a portfolio process π coincide in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market and ( B z , S m ) -market, respectively.
Lemma 2.
Let ξ be a portfolio process, and X ( t ) and X ^ ( t ) be the wealth processes in the market ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) and ( B z , S m ) , respectively. Denote
X ^ ( 0 ) = X ( 0 ) ,
then
X ^ ( t ) = X ( t ) for t [ 0 , T ] a . s .
if and only if
( r 2 ( t ) r 1 ( t ) z ( t ) ) ( 1 ζ ( t ) ) + z ( t ) ( 1 ζ ( t ) ) + = 0 for t [ 0 , T ] a . s .
Proof. 
X ^ ( t ) follows the stochastic differential equation
d X ^ ( t ) = X ^ ( t ) [ ( 1 ζ ( t ) ) r z ( t ) d t + ζ ( t ) μ i ( t ) d t + j = 1 d σ i j ( t ) d W j ( t ) + k = 1 m d ν i k ( t ) d N ˜ k ( t ) ] .
By comparing Equation (24) to the stochastic differential equation for X ( t ) as
d X ( t ) = X ( t ) [ ( 1 ζ ( t ) ) + r 1 ( t ) d t + ( 1 ζ ( t ) ) r 2 ( t ) d t + ζ ( t ) μ i ( t ) d t + j = 1 d σ i j ( t ) d W j ( t ) + k = 1 m d ν i k ( t ) d N ˜ k ( t ) ] , X ( 0 ) = x ,
and by the assumption
X ^ ( 0 ) = X ( 0 ) ,
then
X ^ ( t ) = X ( t ) , for t [ 0 , T ] a . s .
is equivalent to
( 1 ζ ( t ) ) + r 1 ( t ) ( 1 ζ ( t ) ) r 2 ( t ) = ( 1 ζ ( t ) ) r z ( t ) . for t [ 0 , T ] a . s .
By recalling the relation a = a + a for a R , one can find the equivalence of Equations (23) and (26). □
Statement 1.
Let z = ( ( t ) ) be a predictable process with values in the interval
[ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] .
Assume that ζ ( t ) is the optimal hedging strategy against the claim f T in the ( B z , S m ) -market and satisfies the condition in Equation (23).
Then, C r z ( 0 ) (resp. P r z ( 0 ) ), the initial price of the minimal hedge in ( B z , S m ) against f T , is equal to C + (resp. P + ), the initial price of the minimal hedging strategy in ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) .
Namely,
C r z ( 0 ) = C + r e s p . P r z ( 0 ) = P + .
Proof. 
First, we demonstrate that the minimal hedging strategy ξ in the ( B z , S m ) -market is also a hedging strategy in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market under relation Equation (23). Let C r z be the initial capital associated with that hedge in the ( B z , S m ) -market.
If ξ satisfies Equation (23), then the stochastic differential equations of the wealth processes X ^ t and X t in the markets ( B z , S m ) and ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) , respectively, coincide. By taking C r z as the initial price in both markets, we establish the equality between the two processes at any time t [ 0 , T ] . Consequently,
X ^ t = X t = f ( S T 1 ) .
Now, let us show that, under the assumption of Statement 1, the strategy ξ is minimal among the hedges against f ( S T 1 ) in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market. To achieve this aim, it is sufficient to establish
E ^ [ f ( S T 1 ) e r z T ] x ,
where x represents the initial capital of ξ * , an arbitrary strategy in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market. E ^ denotes the expected value under the martingale measure in Lemma 1. Let X t ξ * be the wealth process corresponding to the arbitrary strategy ξ * . We show
E ^ [ X T ξ * e r z T ] x .
Let us consider the discounted wealth process X ˜ t : = X t ξ * e r z t ; then, by using Ito’s formula
d X ˜ t = X t ξ * e r z t ( [ ( 1 ξ t * ) ( r 1 r 2 ) z ( 1 ξ t * ) ] d t + j = 1 d ξ j * ( t ) σ i j d W ˜ t k = 1 m d ξ k * ( t ) ν i k d ( N t λ ˜ t ) ) .
Note that
( 1 ξ t * ) ( r 1 r 2 ) z ( 1 ξ t * ) 0 ,
and
j = 1 d ξ j * ( t ) σ i j d W ˜ t k = 1 m d ξ k * ( t ) ν i k d ( N t λ ˜ t )
is a P ^ local martingale.
From integrating the relation Equation (32) and taking the P ^ expectation, we obtain
E ^ [ X ˜ t ] = E ^ [ X t ξ * e r z t ] x . for any t [ 0 , T ]
Since ξ * is a hedge for f T , that yields
X T ξ * e r z T = X ˜ T f T e r z T .
Hence,
C r z = E ^ [ f T e r z T ] E ^ [ X ˜ T ] = E ^ [ X T ξ * e r z T ] x .
Given that the relation Equation (23) is satisfied, C r z is an initial price of a hedge for f T in ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market. Therefore,
C r z = C + .
For the case of Put, the proof is similar. □
Following the above statement and Lemma 2, the wealth process in the ( B z , S m ) -market, denoted as X ^ t ( C r z ) , coincides with the wealth process in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market, denoted as X t ( C r z ) , and
X ^ T ( C r z ) = X T ( C r z ) = f ( S T 1 ) .
Therefore, we assert that the minimal hedge ζ in the ( B z , S m ) -market against f T is also a hedge in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market if the relation Equation (23) holds.
Statement 2.
Let f be a given contingent claim, and let z ( t ) , t [ 0 , T ] , be a progressively measurable process satisfying the condition z ( t ) [ 0 , r 2 ( t ) r 1 ( t ) ] for t [ 0 , T ] a . s . . If the minimal hedging strategy ξ * corresponding to the solution of the contingent claim valuation problem for f in the ( B z , S m ) -market satisfies the equation
( r 2 ( t ) r 1 ( t ) z ( t ) ) ( 1 ζ ( t ) ) + z ( 1 ζ ( t ) ) + = 0 , for t [ 0 , T ] a . s .
then ξ * is also a hedge against f T in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market. Furthermore, if C r z (resp. P r z ), the fair price of the claim in the ( B z , S m ) -market, verifies C r z = inf k [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] C r k (resp. P r z = inf k [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] P r k ), then
C r z = C ( r e s p . P r z = P ) ,
where C (resp. P ) is the initial debt of the minimal hedge (i.e., the seller’s price). Namely,
C ( r e s p . P ) = sup { y 0 / ξ A ( x ) s . t . T T f T } .
Before proving this statement, we state the following lemma.
Lemma 3.
The minimal hedging strategy against f T in the ( B z , S m ) market (for the buyer) is also the minimal hedging strategy against f T (for the seller) in the same market.
Proof. 
The stochastic differential equations of the debt and wealth processes coincide in the ( B z , S m ) market. Therefore, if ξ * is a hedge against f T in the ( B z , S m ) market, we have
X T ξ * , x = f T .
By taking y = x as the initial price for the debt process,
Y T = X T ξ * , x = f T .
Hence, ξ * is a hedge against f T in the ( B z , S m ) market.
Now let us return to the proof of Statement 2.
Proof of Statement 2.
Provided that relation Equation (23) verifies ξ * as a hedge in ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) against f T , with an initial price of C r z , it is sufficient to find a minimal hedge in the latter market. Assume C r z = inf k [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] C r k , and let y be the initial value for the debt process generated by ξ , an arbitrary strategy in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market. We aim to show that
y sup k [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] ( C r k ) : = C r z .
Accordingly, any hedging strategy against f T has an initial value less than C r z . However, C r z is the initial debt of the hedge ξ * against f T in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market. Therefore, C r z provides the lowest initial debt in ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) . Any hedging strategy against f T in ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) is a hedging strategy against the same claim in ( B z * , S m ) where
z * = r 2 r 1 , if 1 ξ t 0 , 0 , otherwise .
However, by definition, C r z * C r z . Therefore, y C r z .
The proof holds for both Call and Put options. □
Now, let us provide an approximation of the arbitrage-free prices for the claim f T = ( S T 1 K ) + . In this scenario, we calculate the supremum and infimum over auxiliary markets to find approximations for the upper and lower hedging prices of the claim. Therefore, the arbitrage-free interval of prices can be approximated as follows:
inf z [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] C r z , sup z [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] C r z
Example 1.
Consider the European call option on Stock 1 with maturity T, exercise price K, volatility σ 11 , and interest rate r z . The value of the option f T = ( S 1 ( T ) K ) + can be expressed as follows:
C r z ( t ) = e λ ^ ( T t ) n = 0 ( λ ^ ( T t ) ) n n ! C B S ( T t , S 1 ( 0 ) ( 1 ν 11 ) n e ν 11 λ ^ ( T t ) , r , σ 11 , K ) = S 1 ( t ) ( 1 ν 11 ) n e ν 11 λ ^ ( T t ) 0 ( λ ^ ( T t ) n n ! e λ ^ ( T t ) Φ ( d 1 ) K e r z ( T t ) 0 ( λ ^ ( T t ) n n ! e λ ^ ( T t ) Φ ( d 2 ) .
Here, C B S represents the price of a call option driven by the Black–Scholes formula
C B S ( S t , t , K , σ , r ) = S t Φ ( d 1 ) K e r t Φ ( d 2 )
where
d 1 = ln S t K + r + σ 2 2 t σ t , d 2 = d 1 σ t .
Here, Φ ( . ) is the standard normal distribution function. In Example 1, λ ˜ ( t ) represents the total jump intensity:
λ ˜ ( t ) = k = 1 m d λ ˜ ( k ) ( t ) .
One can approximate the upper and lower hedging prices for Example 1 within the interval:
inf z [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] C r z , sup z [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] C r z .
By the Call–Put parity, a similar method can be applied to
f T = ( K S 1 ( T ) ) + .

5. The Shortfall Risk Minimization Problem

In this section, we study the case where the initial wealth x is less than the required expected value of e r z T f T denoted by E ^ [ e r z T f T ] . In this case, it is unlikely to apply a perfect hedge; however, it is possible to minimize the risk of shortfall corresponding to the initial cost constraint by considering the following optimization problem:
u ( x ) = inf ξ A x < E ^ [ f ( S T 1 ) e r z T ] E [ l p ( ( f T X T ξ ( x ) ) + ) ]
Here, l p ( x ) = x p p is the loss function with p > 1 , and A = { ξ s . t E [ sup 0 t T | X T ξ ( x ) | ] < } , i.e., the set of all admissible portfolios with initial capital x. f T [ L p + ϵ ( Ω , F T , P ) ] is the contingent claim with the maturity time T for some ϵ . X T ξ is the wealth process.
In this problem set, if x is greater than the replication cost f T , the completeness of the market allows the investor to hedge the contingent claim f T without taking risks. On the other hand, if x is strictly less than the replication cost of f T , there is a potential for a shortfall. We have the option to divide this problem into a perfect hedging problem of f T and a utility minimization problem.
In the context of a ( B z , S m ) -market, solving the problem Equation (53) involves identifying the optimal strategy for maximizing expected utility and determining the perfect hedge for the claim f T .
Let us denote A 0 ( α ) as the set of portfolio processes ξ ( t ) A and X t ξ 0 , t [ 0 , T ] a.s., where α = x f T x . Then, the optimal solution for Equation (53) is
ξ * = ξ f T ξ 0
where ξ f T is the perfect hedge for f T and ξ 0 is the optimal strategy for the following optimization problem
J ( α ) : = inf ξ A 0 ( α ) E [ l p ( X T ξ ( α ) ) ] .
Theorem 2.
(i) Let ξ 0 ( t ) be the optimal portfolio proportions for ξ 0 A 0 ( α ) for every α ( 0 , ) . The optimal portfolio, denoted by ξ 0 = ( ξ 0 1 , ξ 0 2 ) , obtained from J ( α ) is given by the system of equations:
σ 1 ξ 0 1 + σ 2 ξ 0 2 = ϕ p 1 , ν 1 ξ 0 1 + ν 2 ξ 0 2 = λ * λ q 1 .
Solving for ξ 0 1 and ξ 0 2 , we obtain
ξ 0 1 = ϕ ν 2 p 1 + σ 2 λ * λ q 1 ν 2 σ 1 ν 1 σ 2 , ξ 0 2 = ϕ ν 1 p 1 + σ 1 λ * λ q 1 ν 1 σ 2 ν 2 σ 1 .
where q is such that 1 p + 1 q = 1 .
(ii) The cost function u ( x ) is given by
u ( x ) = l p ( x f T x ) e ( ( p 1 ) a T ) ,
where x f T is the replication cost of f T , and
a = q r z + 1 2 q ( q 1 ) ϕ 2 λ ( q 1 ) q λ * λ + λ * λ q .
(iii) The optimal wealth is given by
X T ξ f T ξ 0 ( x ) = f T ( x f T x ) ( Z T ) q 1 e ( ( a + r z p 1 ) T ) .
See Kane and Melnikov [21].
Now, we present a solution to the problem Equation (53) in a two-interest-rate market.
Theorem 3.
Let X ^ t ξ ( x ) be the wealth process in the ( B z , S m ) satisfying Equation (24), and X t ξ ( x ) the wealth process in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market satisfying Equation (25) with initial capital x. Assume ξ ( t ) , the optimal proportion for problem Equation (53) in the ( B z , S m ) -market verifies Equation (23), and α f T , the optimal strategy hedging f T in the ( B z , S m ) -market, satisfies the conditions in Statement Section 4. Then, in the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market:
(i) The cost function Equation (53) is given by Equation (56). (ii) The optimal proportions invested are
ξ t i = ξ f i X t ξ f T ( x f T ) ξ 0 i X t ξ 0 ( x f T x ) X t ξ f T ξ 0 ( x ) on S i ,
and ( 1 ξ ) + on the deposit account and ( 1 ξ ) on the credit account.
Proof. 
The proof follows a similar structure to the one presented by Kane and Melnikov [21] in the multi-dimensional case. □

6. Pricing Contingent Claims via Market Completion in ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -Market

In this section, our aim is to study no-arbitrage price bounds in incomplete markets. To initiate our analysis, we examine the market ( B , S m ) , which is characterized by multi-dimensional risky assets and one non-risky asset and results in a single interest rate. Our objective is to price contingent claims in incomplete markets, prompting a transition to a market with two different interests later on, resulting in market incompleteness.
Assuming that the dynamics of the risky assets follow Equation (1), with parameters and assumptions identical, we introduce a non-risky asset governed by
d B ( t ) = B ( t ) r ( t ) d t , B ( 0 ) = 1 .
Let π = ( β ( t ) , γ 1 ( t ) , , γ m ( t ) ) be a R ( m + 1 ) -valued process for t [ 0 , T ] , representing a portfolio. We assume that 0 T π ( t ) 2 d t < almost surely under the probability measure P.
The value of the portfolio, denoted by X π ( t ) , is given by
X π ( t ) = β ( t ) B ( t ) + i = 1 m γ i ( t ) S i ( t ) , for all t [ 0 , T ] .
It suffices to assume that our market is arbitrage-free if there exists an equivalent martingale measure, i.e., a measure equivalent to P under which the value of any self-financing strategy is a local martingale. The existence of this measure can be inferred by assuming at least one predictable process κ = ( κ W , κ N ) , where κ W and κ N are defined on R m -valued Brownian motion and a ( m d ) -dimensional Poisson process, respectively, such that the process κ satisfies
σ ( t ) κ W ( t ) + ν ( t ) · ( 1 κ N ) = μ ( t ) = σ ˜ ( t ) θ ( t ) ,
where 1 represents a vector of ones. Henceforth, we assume the existence of at least one process κ as described above. Let us define the probability measure such that
Z κ W ( t ) : = exp 0 t κ W ( s ) d W ( s ) 1 2 0 t κ W ( s ) 2 d s , Z κ N ( t ) : = exp 0 t λ ( s ) · ( 1 κ N ( s ) ) d s k = 1 m d s t κ N ( k ) ( s ) Δ N k ( s ) , for t T .
Define
Z κ = Z κ W Z κ N ,
a non-negative local martingale (See [19]) with E [ Z κ ( t ) ] = 1 for all t [ 0 , T ] . The sufficient condition for market completeness is the uniqueness of the equivalent martingale measure. Therefore, our market is complete if Z κ is a martingale and Equation (60) has only one solution such that κ N ( k ) > 0 for k { 1 , , m d } .
Assume Γ represents the set of all possible equivalent martingale measures in this market, i.e., Γ is the set of all κ which solve relation Equation (60) with κ N ( k ) > 0 for k { 1 , , m d } , and Z κ is a martingale in this set. Therefore, the unique parameters of this are given by
κ W ( t ) = θ W ( t ) , κ N ( t ) = λ 1 ( t ) · ( λ ( t ) θ N ( t ) ) .
Proposition 1
([5] Theorem 4.2). Let Ξ denote the set of all equivalent martingale measures in the ( B , S ) -market, and let d Q κ d P | F t = Z κ ( t ) . Then, Q κ Ξ if and only if κ Γ .
Let us denote an F T -measurable random variable f T as a contingent claim such that E Q [ f T ] for all Q Ξ .
Consider the case where the financial market has the same deposit and credit rates, i.e., r 1 = r 2 . This assumption leads to considering the same deposit and credit account B 1 = B 2 . Finally, with this assumption, we are describing the ( B , S m ) -market with a portfolio process π = ( β , γ 1 , , γ m ) . In this case, the capital follows
X ( t ) = β ( t ) B ( t ) + i = 1 m γ i ( t ) S i ( t ) .
Assuming r 1 = r 2 = r
d X ( t ) X ( t ) = d Y ( t ) Y ( t ) = ( 1 ξ ( t ) ) r d t + i = 1 m ξ i ( t ) d S i ( t ) S i ( t ) .
In such a market, the unique element of Ξ is given by
κ W ( t ) = θ W ( t ) , κ N ( t ) = λ 1 ( t ) · ( λ ( t ) θ N ( t ) ) ,
where κ N ( t ) < λ ( t ) for all t [ 0 , T ] .
Let us return to the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market where the credit rate is higher than the deposit rate. This market is incomplete due to differing borrowing and lending rates. We establish a no-arbitrage price bound over the set of equivalent martingale measures in this incomplete market. When a market is incomplete, replicating all contingent claims becomes impossible. However, by introducing specific sets of assets, we can achieve market completeness.
We broaden the set of admissible strategies to include investment strategies with consumption, represented by an ( m + 3 ) -dimensional F -adapted portfolio process ( π , c ) = ( β 1 ( t ) , β 2 ( t ) , γ 1 ( t ) , , γ m ( t ) , c ( t ) ) , where c ( t ) 0 for t [ 0 , T ] .
The value of such a portfolio is given by
X π , c ( t ) = β 1 ( t ) B 1 ( t ) + β 2 ( t ) B 2 ( t ) + i = 1 m γ i ( t ) S i ( t ) 0 t c ( s ) d s .
We then determine the upper and lower hedging prices as follows:
C * ( f T ) = inf { x 0 : ( π , c ) A ( x ) : X π , c ( T ) f T , P - a . s . }
C * ( f T ) = inf { x 0 : ( π , c ) A ( x ) : X π , c ( T ) f T , P - a . s . }
The seller price, C * ( f T ) , represents the smallest initial capital required for the investor to establish their portfolio. The buyer price, C * ( f T ) , is the largest initial capital required for the investor to pay, ensuring they would not want to pay more than this amount. The upper and lower hedging prices are determined by taking the infimum and supremum over the set of all equivalent martingale measures Q z accommodated in market with the interest rate r z = r 1 + z where z satisfying z [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] , for each z as follows:
C * ( f T , z ) = sup Q Q z E Q [ f T e r z ] , C * ( f T , z ) = inf Q Q z E Q [ f T e r z ] .
Now, we consider the case discussed in Section 4 and introduce the interest rate r z as defined in Statement 1, ensuring that the assumption for market completeness is satisfied. We provide an approximate price by defining the upper and lower completion prices C ^ * ( f T ; r 2 ) and C ^ * ( f T ; r 1 ) as follows
C ^ * ( f T ; r 2 ) = sup z [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] C * ( f T , z ) ,
C ^ * ( f T ; r 1 ) = inf z [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] C * ( f T , z ) .
Example 2.
In this example, we present a method for approximating the price of a contingent claim within a two-interest-rate jump-diffusion model. The pricing formula utilized is derived from the book [22] as follows:
C = e λ * T n = 0 ( λ * T ) n n ! C B S ( T , S 0 1 ( 1 ν 1 ) n e ν 1 λ * T , r , σ 1 , K )
where C B S denotes the price determined by the Black–Scholes formula Equation (49). Parameters from Model 3 of Example 4.2 in the book [23] are employed
μ 1 = 0.11 , σ 1 = 0.20 , ν 1 = 0.04 ; μ 2 = 0.10 , σ 1 = 0.16 , ν 2 = 0.04 ;
and S 0 = 100 , K = 100 , T = 5 , r 1 = 1.01 % , and r 2 = 6.33 % over the years 1999 to 2004.Assuming that σ 2 ν 1 σ 1 ν 2 0 ,
λ * = ( μ 1 r ) σ 2 ( μ 2 r ) σ 1 σ 2 ν 1 σ 1 ν 2 ,
(See [22], pages 39–41). Since z [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] we find the interval for z as [ 0 , 0.0532 ] . Using Equations (65) and (66) we approximate the price bounds
C ^ * ( f T ; 0.0633 ) = sup z [ 0 , 0.0532 ] C * ( f T , r z ) = 29.5645 , C ^ * ( f T ; 0.0101 ) = inf z [ 0 , 0.0532 ] C * ( f T , r z ) = 20.2532 .
Thus, the estimated contingent claim price lies within the interval [ 20.2532 , 29.5345 ] .

7. Conclusions and Future Work

In this study, we began with a multi-dimensional jump-diffusion model, termed the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market, where the credit rate surpasses the deposit rate. However, due to its incompleteness, standard pricing and investment methods do not apply. To overcome this, we transformed the market into an auxiliary ( B z , S m ) where z [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] , achieving completeness for each r z within the range [ 0 , r 2 r 1 ] for any t [ 0 , T ] . By demonstrating the coincidence of wealth processes in both the ( B 1 , B 2 , S m ) -market and the ( B z , S m ) -market, subject to condition Equation (23), we calculated upper and lower hedging prices using supremum and infimum over auxiliary markets. For future research, expanding the model introduced in this paper and incorporating a Levy model could enhance the accuracy of hedging price approximations. Interested readers can explore related works in [10,24,25,26].

Author Contributions

A.M. and P.M.N. contributed equally. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research was funded by Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC) discovery grant with grant number RGPIN-2019-04922.

Data Availability Statement

No new data were created or analyzed in this study. Data sharing is not applicable to this article.

Acknowledgments

We would like to express our gratitude to the referees for carefully reading our manuscript and for giving such constructive comments which substantially helped to improve the quality of the paper.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

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Melnikov, A.; Mohammadi Nejad, P. Pricing Contingent Claims in a Two-Interest-Rate Multi-Dimensional Jump-Diffusion Model via Market Completion. AppliedMath 2024, 4, 348-362. https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/appliedmath4010018

AMA Style

Melnikov A, Mohammadi Nejad P. Pricing Contingent Claims in a Two-Interest-Rate Multi-Dimensional Jump-Diffusion Model via Market Completion. AppliedMath. 2024; 4(1):348-362. https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/appliedmath4010018

Chicago/Turabian Style

Melnikov, Alexander, and Pouneh Mohammadi Nejad. 2024. "Pricing Contingent Claims in a Two-Interest-Rate Multi-Dimensional Jump-Diffusion Model via Market Completion" AppliedMath 4, no. 1: 348-362. https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/appliedmath4010018

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