Interest Rate Risk Modelling in Transformation

A special issue of Risks (ISSN 2227-9091).

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (20 January 2020) | Viewed by 11316

Special Issue Editor


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Guest Editor
School of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, NSW 2007, Australia
Interests: derivative securities pricing; term structure of interest rates; model risk; quantitative finance techniques; credit risk modelling; computational finance

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

The modelling of interest rate risk has been undergoing considerable transformation for some time now. However, on many issues, a settled consensus (among practitioners and academics alike) has yet to emerge, and new challenges continue to arise. An example of the former are the basis spreads observed in floating-for-floating swaps, be they in a single currency with two payment legs of different frequencies (also known as the tenor basis) or across two different currencies (the cross-currency basis). An example of the latter are the problems arising from the imminent abolition of LIBOR and similar rates in other jurisdictions, and their replacement by benchmarks calculated in a substantially different manner. Very often, these issues are linked—for example, the spread between LIBOR and OIS (overnight index swaps) could be seen as an extreme example of a tenor basis (where the shorter frequency is daily).

This Special Issue aims to compile high-quality papers that offer a discussion of the state-of-the-art or introduce new theoretical, empirical or practical developments in this area. Topics for this Special Issue include but are not limited to the following:

  • Theoretical modelling and empirical analysis of the tenor basis or the cross-currency basis. This includes any research dealing with these “multicurve” phenomena, e.g., their theoretical causes, implications for derivative pricing, and empirical studies;
  • Theoretical and practical issues arising from the abolition and replacement of LIBOR and related benchmarks;
  • Modelling interest rate risk when valuation adjustments (XVA) are required, e.g., FVA (funding valuation adjustment), MVA (margin valuation adjustment), KVA (capital valuation adjustment);
  • Quantifying model risk (i.e., the risk that the model is wrong) in interest rate term structure models.
Prof. Erik Schlögl
Guest Editor

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Keywords

  • Interest rates
  • Interest rate derivatives
  • Tenor basis
  • Cross-currency basis
  • LIBOR replacement
  • LIBOR/OIS spread
  • XVA
  • Interest rate model risk

Published Papers (2 papers)

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Research

18 pages, 452 KiB  
Article
Rational Savings Account Models for Backward-Looking Interest Rate Benchmarks
by Andrea Macrina and David Skovmand
Risks 2020, 8(1), 23; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/risks8010023 - 03 Mar 2020
Cited by 9 | Viewed by 3375
Abstract
Interest rate benchmarks are currently undergoing a major transition. The LIBOR benchmark is planned to be discontinued by the end of 2021 and superseded by what ISDA calls an adjusted risk-free rate (RFR). ISDA has recently announced that the LIBOR replacement will most [...] Read more.
Interest rate benchmarks are currently undergoing a major transition. The LIBOR benchmark is planned to be discontinued by the end of 2021 and superseded by what ISDA calls an adjusted risk-free rate (RFR). ISDA has recently announced that the LIBOR replacement will most likely be constructed from a compounded running average of RFR overnight rates over a period matching the LIBOR tenor. This new backward-looking benchmark is markedly different when compared with LIBOR. It is measurable only at the end of the term in contrast to the forward-looking LIBOR, which is measurable at the start of the term. The RFR provides a simplification because the cash flows and the discount factors may be derived from the same discounting curve, thus avoiding—on a superficial level—any multi-curve complications. We develop a new class of savings account models and derive a novel interest rate system specifically designed to facilitate a high degree of tractability for the pricing of RFR-based fixed-income instruments. The rational form of the savings account models under the risk-neutral measure enables the pricing in closed form of caplets, swaptions and futures written on the backward-looking interest rate benchmark. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Interest Rate Risk Modelling in Transformation)
15 pages, 1555 KiB  
Article
LIBOR Fallback and Quantitative Finance
by Marc Pierre Henrard
Risks 2019, 7(3), 88; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/risks7030088 - 15 Aug 2019
Cited by 8 | Viewed by 7367
Abstract
With the expected discontinuation of the LIBOR publication, a robust fallback for related financial instruments is paramount. In recent months, several consultations have taken place on the subject. The results of the first ISDA consultation have been published in November 2018 and a [...] Read more.
With the expected discontinuation of the LIBOR publication, a robust fallback for related financial instruments is paramount. In recent months, several consultations have taken place on the subject. The results of the first ISDA consultation have been published in November 2018 and a new one just finished at the time of writing. This note describes issues associated to the proposed approaches and potential alternative approaches in the framework and the context of quantitative finance. It evidences a clear lack of details and lack of measurability of the proposed approaches which would not be achievable in practice. It also describes the potential of asymmetrical information between market participants coming from the adjustment spread computation. In the opinion of this author, a fundamental revision of the fallback’s foundations is required. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Interest Rate Risk Modelling in Transformation)
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