Chaotic Dynamics of Environmental and Hydrological Time Series

A special issue of Applied Sciences (ISSN 2076-3417). This special issue belongs to the section "Environmental Sciences".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (20 February 2022) | Viewed by 2215

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Guest Editor
Department of Civil Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong
Interests: water and life; anthropogenic changes in the hydrological cycle; trends in hydrological variables; hydrological modeling; drinking water, health, food and energy nexus; water-related disasters; water-related conflicts
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Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

The basic objective of time series analysis is to understand the characteristics of processes that generate time series and to make future predictions as well as simulations under different scenarios. Certain types of processes which are seemingly stochastic are in fact evolving from deterministic nonlinear dynamical systems. By treating such processes as deterministic, it is possible to uncover the complicated dynamics and make realistic short-term predictions. Such systems exhibit stable properties which are predictable at times, but become “chaotic” under certain initial conditions. Chaos theory describes the behavior of certain nonlinear dynamical systems that may exhibit dynamics that are highly sensitive to initial conditions, popularly referred to as the “butterfly effect”. The first step in the analysis of chaotic dynamics is to establish whether a time series is in fact generated from a chaotic deterministic system, which is done by estimating certain invariant measures such as the correlation dimension, Lyapunov exponent, Kolmogorov–Sinai (KS) entropy, capacity dimension, topological dimension, fractal dimension, Hausdorff dimension, etc. The methods of their estimation are varied and have limitations. This Special Issue on Chaotic Dynamics of Environmental and Htydrological Time Series aims to bring together the latest developments in the understanding of chaotic dynamics with particular reference to the prediction of environmental time series.

Dr. Amithirigala Widhanelage Jayawardena
Guest Editor

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Keywords

  • false nearest neighbor method
  • embedding dimension
  • singular value decomposition
  • delay time
  • Kolmogorov–Sinai entropy
  • correlation dimension
  • Lyapunov exponent
  • phase-space reconstruction and prediction

Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

18 pages, 6439 KiB  
Article
Chaotic Features of Decomposed Time Series from Tidal River Water Level
by Myungjin Lee, Hung Soo Kim, Jaewon Kwak, Jongsung Kim and Soojun Kim
Appl. Sci. 2022, 12(1), 199; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/app12010199 - 25 Dec 2021
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1899
Abstract
This study assessed the characteristics of water-level time series of a tidal river by decomposing it into tide, wave, rainfall-runoff, and noise components. Especially, the analysis for chaotic behavior of each component was done by estimating the correlation dimension with phase-space reconstruction of [...] Read more.
This study assessed the characteristics of water-level time series of a tidal river by decomposing it into tide, wave, rainfall-runoff, and noise components. Especially, the analysis for chaotic behavior of each component was done by estimating the correlation dimension with phase-space reconstruction of time series and by using a close returns plot (CRP). Among the time series, the tide component showed chaotic characteristics to have a correlation dimension of 1.3. It was found out that the water level has stochastic characteristics showing the increasing trend of the correlation exponent in the embedding dimension. Other components also showed the stochastic characteristics. Then, the CRP was used to examine the characteristics of each component. The tide component showed the chaotic characteristics in its CRP. The CRP of water level showed an aperiodic characteristic which slightly strayed away from its periodicity, and this might be related to the tide component. This study showed that a low water level is mainly affected by a chaotic tide component through entropy information. Even though the water level did not show chaotic characteristics in the correlation dimension, it showed stochastic chaos characteristics in the CRP. Other components showed stochastic characteristics in the CRP. It was confirmed that the water level showed chaotic characteristics when it was not affected by rainfall and stochastic characteristics deviating from the bounded trajectory when water level rises due to rainfall. Therefore, we have shown that the water level related to the chaotic tide component can also have chaotic properties because water level is influenced by chaotic tide and rainfall shock, thus it showed stochastic chaos characteristics. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Chaotic Dynamics of Environmental and Hydrological Time Series)
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