Risk, Uncertainty Analysis and Statistical Models in Environment

A special issue of Mathematics (ISSN 2227-7390). This special issue belongs to the section "Probability and Statistics".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: closed (20 August 2022) | Viewed by 1270

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
Department of Computer and Geospatial Sciences, University of Gävle, 80176 Gävle, Sweden
Interests: Geovisualisaition; GIS; Modelling; Natural hazard; Remote sensing; Risk assessment; Spatial analysis; Spatial statistics; Uncertainty quantification

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Guest Editor
1. Australian Maritime College (National Centre for Ports and Shipping), University of Tasmania, Launceston 7250, Tasmania, Australia
2. Nikola Vaptsarov Naval Academy—Varna, 9002 Varna, Bulgaria
Interests: Intelligent Systems; Decision analysis; Risk Analysis

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Guest Editor
Department of Statistics and Data Analysis, Higher School of Economics, Moscow 101000, Russia
Interests: probability theory and stochastic processes; information theory; mathematics of insurance; queueing networks; epidemiology
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Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Geographic Information Systems (GIS), remote sensing and environmental models have extensively been used lately in different applications in order to provide solutions that address societal and environmental management problems. They have, for instance, been widely employed for predictions, site suitability analysis and risk assessment. This growing usage of GIS and modelling has also been in line with the increasing availability of geospatial data, more powerful computers and improved technology.

However, the application of GIS and modelling requires different data, follows a chain of methods to process and reprocess data and involves several user choices. All of these factors affect model results, rendering them subject to uncertainties. Therefore, uncertainty and statistical analyses have to be included as part of the modelling process to assess how, for example, data and model parameters affect results. They are also important for determining model performance in terms of its accuracy as well as its limitations in providing information. Moreover, visualisation of uncertainty is essential for helping the visual identification of patterns and trends that allow better comprehension of their possible causes in modelling. In model results where geographic locations are identified, the inclusion of uncertainty in geovisualisation or in the map is a method of communicating information to its users.

This Special Issue on Risk, Uncertainty Analysis and Statistical Models in Environment welcomes original research or review contributions on uncertainty analyses and statistical models incorporated in the following topics, with applications in societal and environmental management and planning:

  • Remote sensing;
  • GIS/Spatial modelling;
  • Environmental modelling;
  • Natural hazard and/or risk assessment;
  • Geovisualisation and/or mapping.

Dr. Nancy Joy Lim  
Prof. Dr. Natalia Nikolova
Prof. Dr. Mark Kelbert
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

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Keywords

  • GIS
  • geovisualisation
  • mapping
  • modelling
  • remote sensing
  • risk
  • statistics
  • uncertainty

Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

16 pages, 707 KiB  
Article
A Weighted Surrogate Model for Spatio-Temporal Dynamics with Multiple Time Spans: Applications for the Pollutant Concentration of the Bai River
by Yue Huan, Yubin Tian and Dianpeng Wang
Mathematics 2022, 10(19), 3585; https://0-doi-org.brum.beds.ac.uk/10.3390/math10193585 - 01 Oct 2022
Viewed by 854
Abstract
Simulations are often used to investigate the flow structures and system dynamics of complex natural phenomena and systems, which are significantly harder to obtain from experiments or theoretical analyses. Surrogate models are employed to mimic the results of simulations by reducing computational costs. [...] Read more.
Simulations are often used to investigate the flow structures and system dynamics of complex natural phenomena and systems, which are significantly harder to obtain from experiments or theoretical analyses. Surrogate models are employed to mimic the results of simulations by reducing computational costs. In order to reduce the amount of computational time consumed, a novel framework for building efficient surrogate models is proposed in this work. The novelty lies in that the new framework runs simulations using the different simulation time spans for different inputs and builds a comprehensive surrogate model through the fusion of non-homogeneous spatio-temporal data by integrating the temporal and spatial correlations in parametric space. This differs from the existing works in the literature, which only consider the situation of spatio-temporal data with a consistent time span during simulations under different inputs. Some simulation studies and real data analysis concerning the pollution of the river in the Sichuan Province of China are used to demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed methods. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Risk, Uncertainty Analysis and Statistical Models in Environment)
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